Two favorites this weekend, and they both aren't winning. Additionally, we aren't getting the Harbaugh Bowl.
So I'll take New England and Atlanta.
6-2 so far.
Saturday, January 19, 2013
Friday, January 11, 2013
NFL: 2013 Divisional Picks
Perfect 4-0 last week. Let's keep it going.
Here's where the difficulty comes - one of the top four seeds is going to look sluggish and not show up. The favorite is Atlanta, who have a recent history of doing just that. Let's talk about each game.
Baltimore at Denver
I didn't think Baltimore played well last week. Their best hope is that they catch Denver sleeping (a decent possibility). Let's also not forget that Peyton Manning has a strong history of choking in the playoffs (2006 not withstanding). So that's your case for Baltimore.
Your case for Denver? They're just better. On just about every facet of the ball.
Also, I refuse to support Joe Flacco anymore. I finally ditched him in fantasy and rode Colin Kaepernick to a championship. I will take Denver.
Houston at New England
I like New England here. Houston looks done.
Green Bay at San Francisco
Probably the hardest game to pick. For most of the week, I was thinking of just picking Green Bay. But really, I think San Fran might be the better team. The obvious question mark is QB, but I don't think Kaepernick is a liability at home. In the end, I'll take the home team.
(P.S. This game should be in Green Bay. Friggin Seattle).
Atlanta at Seattle
So we come to it now. I haven't picked a sleeper (which here means the obvious of the regular season term sleeper), and I guess I'll take Atlanta to forget how to play.
Let's talk a minute about the Seahawks. They have a ferocious (read: dirty) defense, a good running game, and an unproven rookie quarterback who is the talk of the town, and a gaggle of mediocre receivers. They won a lucky wildcard game, and are about to catch a sleeping bye team. Also, they have green on their uniforms.
You know what team that sounds like? New York Jets, two or three years ago. The Jets went to a conference championship twice in a row, but lost when they played against a proven playoff team that wasn't asleep from the bye. And that's what I imagine happening here - Seattle wins again by surprising a sluggish Atlanta, but then will lose to a prepared-to-embarass-Seattle-who-is-also-on-the-verge-of-stealing-the-nearest-basketball-team San Francisco 49ers.
(the final note: I don't believe in Destiny, which means that we are not getting Green Bay / Seattle - so at least one of those teams is losing).
So those are my picks. Denver, New England, San Francisco, Seattle.
Here's where the difficulty comes - one of the top four seeds is going to look sluggish and not show up. The favorite is Atlanta, who have a recent history of doing just that. Let's talk about each game.
Baltimore at Denver
I didn't think Baltimore played well last week. Their best hope is that they catch Denver sleeping (a decent possibility). Let's also not forget that Peyton Manning has a strong history of choking in the playoffs (2006 not withstanding). So that's your case for Baltimore.
Your case for Denver? They're just better. On just about every facet of the ball.
Also, I refuse to support Joe Flacco anymore. I finally ditched him in fantasy and rode Colin Kaepernick to a championship. I will take Denver.
Houston at New England
I like New England here. Houston looks done.
Green Bay at San Francisco
Probably the hardest game to pick. For most of the week, I was thinking of just picking Green Bay. But really, I think San Fran might be the better team. The obvious question mark is QB, but I don't think Kaepernick is a liability at home. In the end, I'll take the home team.
(P.S. This game should be in Green Bay. Friggin Seattle).
Atlanta at Seattle
So we come to it now. I haven't picked a sleeper (which here means the obvious of the regular season term sleeper), and I guess I'll take Atlanta to forget how to play.
Let's talk a minute about the Seahawks. They have a ferocious (read: dirty) defense, a good running game, and an unproven rookie quarterback who is the talk of the town, and a gaggle of mediocre receivers. They won a lucky wildcard game, and are about to catch a sleeping bye team. Also, they have green on their uniforms.
You know what team that sounds like? New York Jets, two or three years ago. The Jets went to a conference championship twice in a row, but lost when they played against a proven playoff team that wasn't asleep from the bye. And that's what I imagine happening here - Seattle wins again by surprising a sluggish Atlanta, but then will lose to a prepared-to-embarass-Seattle-who-is-also-on-the-verge-of-stealing-the-nearest-basketball-team San Francisco 49ers.
(the final note: I don't believe in Destiny, which means that we are not getting Green Bay / Seattle - so at least one of those teams is losing).
So those are my picks. Denver, New England, San Francisco, Seattle.
Friday, January 4, 2013
NFL: 2013 Wildcard Picks
Time to come out of blogging retirement and make my NFL Playoff Picks. Here are my rules:
1. Momentum Matters.
2. One team is overhyped, one team is underhyped.
3. When in doubt, take the home team. But pick at least one road team.
4. Destiny Exists.
5. One team is kryptonite.
So let's look at each game in order.
Cincy at Houston
This has got to be an overhype/underhype matchup. Everyone is begging to take Cincy. But tell me this: isn't Cincy just an underexperienced Houston? They have an underwhelming quarterback, one crazy receiver, and a good running game. The difference is Houston is home with the excellent RB who is well rested. So I'll take Houston.
Minnesota at Green Bay
When in doubt, take Aaron Rodgers at home in the playoffs. Simple enough. I'm not putting much thought into this.
Indy at Baltimore
Let's review why I don't believe Destiny exists (in regards to NFL Playoffs): a few years ago, we very noticeably did not get Brett Favre vs Green Bay in the playoffs. I don't think we're getting Luck v. Manning either. Baltimore wins here handily.
Seattle at Washington
I'm supposed to pick a road team. And I hate Seattle, so they might be my kryptonite. I see a very definite possibility of Seattle flaming out, but I'm going to pick them. Maybe I'll be wrong, in which case I'll be ecstatic.
Quick Fantasy Note:
I lost badly (last place) in my work league. I just missed the playoffs in my Seattle league (short by 20 points).
And I won Go Lions! We are the champions... Let's try for a repeat.
1. Momentum Matters.
2. One team is overhyped, one team is underhyped.
3. When in doubt, take the home team. But pick at least one road team.
5. One team is kryptonite.
So let's look at each game in order.
Cincy at Houston
This has got to be an overhype/underhype matchup. Everyone is begging to take Cincy. But tell me this: isn't Cincy just an underexperienced Houston? They have an underwhelming quarterback, one crazy receiver, and a good running game. The difference is Houston is home with the excellent RB who is well rested. So I'll take Houston.
Minnesota at Green Bay
When in doubt, take Aaron Rodgers at home in the playoffs. Simple enough. I'm not putting much thought into this.
Indy at Baltimore
Let's review why I don't believe Destiny exists (in regards to NFL Playoffs): a few years ago, we very noticeably did not get Brett Favre vs Green Bay in the playoffs. I don't think we're getting Luck v. Manning either. Baltimore wins here handily.
Seattle at Washington
I'm supposed to pick a road team. And I hate Seattle, so they might be my kryptonite. I see a very definite possibility of Seattle flaming out, but I'm going to pick them. Maybe I'll be wrong, in which case I'll be ecstatic.
Quick Fantasy Note:
I lost badly (last place) in my work league. I just missed the playoffs in my Seattle league (short by 20 points).
And I won Go Lions! We are the champions... Let's try for a repeat.
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