Tuesday, September 21, 2010

NFL: Week 2 Review

What an ugly weekend of football. Every game I watched was just ugly. Brett Favre throws 12 interceptions at the 1 yard line? Joe Flacco throws 4 interceptions in a game that scored a bakers dozen of field goals? MARK FREAKING SANCHEZ winning? (I hate Mark Sanchez.)

Ugly. And So here's my picks review. As always, my picks in italics, with actual winners bolded.

Ravens at Bengals
Cowboys at Bears
Cardinals at Falcons
Bills at Packers
Eagles at Lions
Steelers at Titans
Chiefs at Browns
Bucs at Panthers
Dolphins at Vikings
Seahawks at Broncos
Rams at Raiders
Patriots at Jets
Texans at Redskins
Jaguars at Chargers
Giants at Colts
Saints at 49ers

Week: 8-8.
Record: 18-14

Upset of the Week: 1-1
Lock of the Week: 0-2

Lock of the Week: Might be better off picking against my "Mortal Lock of the Week." Although, to be fair, I haven't been picking the 'easy' teams like Green Bay or the Saints. I've picked San Diego and Carolina. Next week I'll play it safe (I'll take Minnesota!)

Bird Bowl: I tossed about the idea of picking the most ferocious animal last week. Here's how Bird Bowl (trademark pending!) picking would have worked out: 3-1. (Eagles-Lions being the loss.) I (only nominally following Bird Bowl Picking) went 3-1 anyway (missing the Ravens/Bengals). Perhaps a modified Bird Bowl picking system would work well - pick the most ferocious animal, unless that animal is a lion.

Fantasy Football: Lost by 9 points. I was doing well until Frank Gore scored 28 points. Thank God I benched Flacco and played Orton - that looked damn near prescient.

A Curse on You: Dave Morgan. Why did I ever get suckered into that trade (Flacco, Deangelo Williams, and Felix Jones for Rodgers and Beanie Wells)? The only player out of those 5 thats played well is Rodgers. A pox on you and your family! But on the flip side, I'm 18-14 (picking games outright) and you're 17-15 (picking against the spread). So I'm 3% better at picking through the first two weeks. Take that.

Thursday, September 16, 2010

NFL: Week 2 Picks

Figured I should start by pointing this out - I don't think there's a single week of the year harder to make picks than week 2. Every team is either unbeaten or winless. And how much can you learn from one week? How many games last week were aberrations and how many were actual proof of what's coming this season?

For example, what do you do with Houston at Washington? Is one of these teams "for real?" Who was faking it last week?

Anyway, onto the picks.

Ravens at Bengals: Ravens are better than their game score last week suggested, and I think the Bengals may be shockingly worse. Take the Ravens.

Cowboys at Bears: As much as I like watching Dallas lose, I have a feeling that the Bears won't put up much of a fight. Dallas.

Cardinals at Falcons: A bird bowl! Was there one last week? (After checking, no!). I'm tempted to start instituting a "if two animals meet, pick the fiercer one." Last week, I would have had 2 wins (dolphins drown buffalo and jaguars eat horses), one loss (would have picked Rams over Cardinals), and one push - lions and bears (who knows who wins that fight?). So in that spirit, I'll take the Falcons this week.

Bills at Packers: About the best thing the Bills can hope to do this week is to run Lynch a lot and drive up his trade value to the Packers. Pack rolls.

Eagles at Lions: Dangit, another animal bowl. By the rules I already postulated, I should pick the Lions. I'm reserving my Upset of the Week for a different game... So, sadly, I'll take the Eagles. X-Factor: How demoralized will Detroit be after week 1? Can you dream of a scenario where week 1 was any worse for Detroit, barring Suh spontaneously combusting and taking Calvin Johnson with him? (Of course, maybe they use that to their advantage? Wait, these aren't the Patriots. They're the Lions...)

Steelers at Titans: Homefield advantage. Titans, and CJ racks up 150 yards.

Chiefs at Browns: Is Cleveland really that bad? I'm starting to think that God really does hate them. Oh well... But I can't drop my playoff dark horse just yet. Low scoring game and Cleveland wins.

Bucs at Panthers: Bucs on the road? Panthers - and boy am I glad to have Deangelo Williams this week. I'll take the Panthers as my Lock of the Week - when else can I type that this year?

Dolphins at Vikings: Favre didn't look good last week. But neither did Miami. When in doubt, take the home team. I'm sure Favre worked with his receivers this week, and they will probably be more in sync.

Seahawks at Broncos: I hate this game all around. Because I don't think the Seahawks are for real, but I don't want to pick Denver. If Carroll starts off 2-0 though, I might have to gag myself here in Seattle. I'll pick Denver. (I'm also toying with the thought of playing Orton this week over Flacco...)

Rams at Raiders: I can't take St Louis on the road... not even at Oakland.

Patriots at Jets: Okay, so maybe Dallas is my second favorite team to watch lose. First is the Jets, who are about to get pounded by a strikingly 2007 Tom Brady into an 0-2 hole.

Texans at Redskins: Eh, I haven't picked a road team to win yet (Philly doesn't count). Texans are as good as any.

Jaguars at Chargers: Another one of those games that I have no clue going into. I think I'll take San Diego - they're offense should be more potent than last week, and that doesn't bode well for the Jags.

Giants at Colts: I'm gonna take a stand and play this as my Upset of the Week. The Giants are underrated. And eventually, the Colts aren't going to be on top anymore. Is this the year? Maybe. I'll take the Giants.

Saints at 49ers: Too bad 49ers. I already played my Upset of the Week. You're relegated to 0-2, because Drew Brees. I don't even need to make that a complete sentence. Just Drew Brees.

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

NFL: Week 1 Review

Review of Last week - my picks in italics, actual winner bolded.

Vikings at Saints
Dolphins at Bills
Lions at Bears
Raiders at Titans
Bengals at Patriots
Panthers at Giants
Falcons at Steelers
Browns at Buccaneers
Broncos at Jaguars
Colts at Texans
Cardinals at Rams
Packers at Eagles
49ers at Seahawks
Cowboys at Redskins
Ravens at Jets
Chargers at Chiefs

Pick record: 10-6
Upset of the Week: 1-0
Lock of the Week: 0-1


In my defense... If you had said a week ago that Indianapolis and San Francisco were going to lose their openers, you would have been laughed out of the room. Also, I should get a point for Detroit, who did win the game, but were screwed by the Refs.

I learned.... Don't pick actual game scores. My 30-35 guess for Min - NO was laughably bad.

X-Factor.... wasn't a factor. Brees had an alright game, and didn't come close to a devastating injury. Here's my question to you more learned football guys - what's the latest into the season that the Madden Curse has struck? At what point is Brees "safe?"

Tis better not to speak of... Fantasy football.... I lost by at least 25, when I last looked.

Monday, September 13, 2010

Random Thoughts: Invitations

A quick thought from Sabbath group last night…

I was reflecting with two of the guys about the difference between commands and invitations. Scott, who works for a sports club and frequently teaches afterschool programs, was talking about the noticeable difference in the behavior of his students when saying “Don’t do this” as opposed to “Hey, how about we do this?” The invitation seemed to work better. It’s anecdotal, of course, but you can probably also think of ways in which you see that played out in your own life.

We started reflecting on how our view of God through the years has changed in this regard as well. In the culture we grew up in, there seemed to be a message of “don’t” that was being told to us. People told us that God didn’t want us to drink, or smoke, or have sex, or swear. There wasn’t a message of “we invite you to do this” but rather a “if you do this, we will punish you.”As we’ve grown older, we’ve started to experience less of God telling us what not to do and more of God inviting us to grow with him.

This isn’t to say that there are certain decisions that are poor decisions. I think most of the reasons that the church communicated to us like that when we were younger were good reasons. They did have a good heart, but just poor execution. I think our challenge now is how to accept and forgive those mistakes, and move on, to create a world that is less about the don’t and more about an invitation to live together, in a beautiful mess.

Thursday, September 9, 2010

Amish Proverbs: The Winner

So we had two entries for the Amish Proverbs contest. Here were the entries:

Derek:
"Advice is what we ask for when we already know the answer but wish we didn't."

Jason: "Proverbs are best understood after you have failed to heed their wisdom."



And so the winner (by random draw) is...




Derek! You can claim your prize anytime. Thanks to all for playing.

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

NFL: Week 1 Picks

This year, I'll be attempting to make picks for every game. I've picked the playoffs well every year (mostly), so here's my first shot at regular season. At the end of the column, you'll find a Mortal Lock pick - you can bet on that matchup. Also, the X-Factor or Upset of the Week that may throw a spanner in the works

Also, I have no memory. I don't remember what I wrote two weeks ago about the NFL; just that I thought Cleveland would surprise. If I contradict myself, that means I was right at least once, so there.

Vikings at Saints: Defending Champions, at home. This will be a monster game, and Drew Brees has supplanted Manning / Brady and Former Favre as the QB to never bet against. Down by 20 in the fourth quarter and I'd still take Brees. So for this game, Brees wins in a thriller, 35-30. X-Factor: When will the Madden curse hit?

Dolphins at Bills: Dolphins. Seeing as neither of these teams interest me, I have nothing further to say.

Lions at Bears: In the battle for first most irrelevant in the NFC North... I'll take the Lions in a surprise victory. And Cutler throws up a foul-mouthed immature media storm when he gets sacked by Suh four or five times.

Raiders at Titans: Both these teams should improve upon their last year. Hard to pick in the first week - but I'll take the Titans because of homefield advantage.

Bengals at Patriots: Both teams have glaring weaknesses. Patriots have duct tape for a defense, and the Bengals have more reality TV shows than my wife has shoes. Safe prediction: Tom Brady. Oh, and that homefield advantage again.

Panthers at Giants: Giants are under the radar again - like the year they won the Super Bowl. Panthers are perhaps slightly overrated - losing Jake Delhomme helps them, but losing Julius Peppers does not. Go with the Giants.

Falcons at Steelers: There's some hype about Matt Ryan, but not as much as other young quarterbacks. I think Dennis Dixon struggles in week 1, and Atlanta takes them to task for it.

Browns at Buccaneers: Easy lay up to start looking like Nostradamus. Browns have more talent than the Bucs, plain and simple. If Jake really does rebound like I expect, this could be a shellacking.

Broncos at Jaguars: Will anyone in Jacksonville care if the Jags lose but Tim Tebow scores a random touchdown? I think this is basically a home game if for Denver if Tebow goes out on the field once. So then I'll take Denver.

Colts at Texans: Can you bet against Manning in the regular season? I can't until the fourteenth week. I'll take Manning.

Cardinals at Rams: Bradford should have a decent game, but Cardinals will still win. You can't overcome a talent deficit with one QB (See: 2009 Detroit Lions).

Packers at Eagles: Rough game for Kevin Kolb to start. I'm rooting against Aaron Rodgers now, because I traded him, and don't want to look like an idiot, but I think the Pack will not struggle too much here.

49ers at Seahawks: San Francisco by a mile. Seahawks don't have a coach; they have Pete Carroll.

Cowboys at Redskins: It amuses me to no end when Dallas falters. So in my Upset of the Week, I'll take the Redskins.

Ravens at Jets: Joe Flacco just got Housmanzhasd (or however you spell it) to go with Boldin. Which is good, because the Jets just got Revis back. Still, I think Mark Sanchez is vastly overrated and will see some definite sophomore blues. Ravens in a close game.

Chargers at Chiefs: Mortal Lock of the Week: Chargers. You know why? Because Philip Rivers has the drive to win. When has Matt Cassel ever shown drive? And no, picking up Leinart or Brady's dry cleaning doesn't count.

Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Random Thoughts: Ironic Word Plays

Just yesterday I realized I don't know the difference between the words "drama" and "melodrama."

Is melodrama just a (dramatic?) version of drama? If so, is that ironic?

Alanis Morrissette wrote a song called "Ironic" which did not provide examples of Irony. Is that Ironic? And if it is, does that make the song correctly titled, which means it's not ironic? I'm confused.

I believe Alanis is from Canada. I'm not really researching this at this point, so let's just pretend she is, even if she isn't. In fact, let's just scrap this whole point, because (ironically) I have no idea why being Canadian mattered. (It's ironic because it isn't ironic).

Ironically, this entire post has no point. It sprang from a mental discussion of the difference between being melodramatic and dramatic. Random thoughts, indeed.